Discussion paper DP17376 Temporary Layoffs, Loss-of-Recall, and Cyclical Unemployment Dynamics Mark Gertler Christopher Huckfeldt Antonella Trigari 10 Jun 2022 Temporary layoffs Recalls Loss-of-recall Unemployment Business cycles Labour Economics Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
Discussion paper DP17345 Supporting small firms through recessions and recoveries Cláudia Custódio Diana Bonfim Clara Raposo 31 May 2022 Small firms’ financing Credit certification Cost of debt investment Business cycles Government guarantees Financial Economics
Discussion paper DP17232 Supply or Demand? Policy Makers’ Confusion in the Presence of Hysteresis Antonio Fatas Sanjay Singh 18 Apr 2022 Potential output Hysteresis Stabilization policy Business cycles Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E32 E60 O4
Discussion paper DP16639 The Unemployment-Risk Channel in Business-Cycle Fluctuations Tobias Broer Jeppe Drudahl Karl Harmenberg Erik Öberg 15 Oct 2021 Hank Search and matching Unemployment risk Business cycles Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E21 E24 E32
Discussion paper DP16535 The Elusive State of Full Employment Antonio Fatas 11 Sep 2021 Potential output Business cycles Natural rate of unemployment Recoveries Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E32 J0
Discussion paper DP16497 Understanding Informality Ceyhun Elgin M. Ayhan Kose Franziska Ohnsorge Shu Yu 31 Aug 2021 Informal economy Self-employment Employment Output Business cycles International Macroeconomics and Finance E26 E32 J46 O17
Discussion paper DP16423 Mismatch Cycles Isaac Baley Ana Figueiredo Robert Ulbricht 6 Aug 2021 Business cycles Cleansing Learning about skills Multidimensional sorting Scarring effect of unemployment Search-and-matching Skill mismatch Sullying Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E24 E32 J24 J64
VoxEU Column Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology Laurent Ferrara Valerie Mignon 17 Jul 2021 Macroeconomic policy Europe's nations and regions Recessions Business cycles Covid-19 Financial crisis Us Europe France
Discussion paper DP16166 The Aftermath of Sovereign Debt Crises: A Narrative Approach. Rui Ferreira da Costa Esteves Jason Lennard Seán Kenny 17 May 2021 Business cycles Narrative approach Sovereign default Economic History International Macroeconomics and Finance E32 F34 F41 G01 H63 N10 N20
Discussion paper DP15958 One Ring to Rule Them All? New Evidence on World Cycles Eric Monnet Damien Puy 25 Mar 2021 World cycles Business cycles Financial cycles Financial integration Trade integration Globalization Us monetary policy Economic History International Macroeconomics and Finance E32 F41 F42
Discussion paper DP15854 Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions Jacopo Cimadomo Domenico Giannone Michele Lenza Francesca Monti Andrej Sokol 26 Feb 2021 Big data Scenario analysis Mixed frequency Real time Business cycles Nowcasting Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E32 E37 C01 C33 C53
Discussion paper DP15733 The Macroeconomics of Financial Speculation Alp Simsek 28 Jan 2021 Financial speculation Belief disagreements Short selling Leverage Speculative bubbles Rational bubbles Countercyclical risk premium Business cycles Aggregate demand recessions Macroprudential policy Financial Economics International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E00 E12 E21 E22 E32 E44 E52 E70 G00 G01 G11 G12 G40
