Discussion paper DP17495 The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions Saten Kumar Yuriy Gorodnichenko 23 Jul 2022 Monetary Policy Uncertainty Firm decisions Surveys Randomized control trial Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E3 E4 E5
Discussion paper DP17410 Measuring Brexit Uncertainty: A Machine Learning and Textual Analysis Approach Wanyu Chung Duiyi Dai Robert Elliott 27 Jun 2022 Brexit Uncertainty Machine learning International Trade and Regional Economics D80 E66 F50
Discussion paper DP17392 Microfoundations of Low-Frequency High-Impact Decisions Arnaldo Camuffo Alfonso Gambardella Fabio Maccheroni Massimo Marinacci Andrea Pignataro 17 Jun 2022 Decision problem Experiments Exploration Framing Strategy Theory Uncertainty Organizational Economics L21 L26 M13 M21
VoxEU Column The impact of the war in Ukraine on economic uncertainty Lena Anayi Nicholas Bloom Philip Bunn Paul Mizen Gregory Thwaites Ivan Yotzov 16 Apr 2022 Politics and economics Russia Ukraine war Uk Decision Maker Panel firm survey Uncertainty
VoxEU Column The impact of uncertainty on investment by Russian firms: A parable from 2014 Sumru G. Altug Sevcan Yesiltas 13 Apr 2022 Politics and economics International trade Uncertainty Sanctions Russia investment Foreign exchange Ukraine war
Discussion paper DP15581 Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news Benjamin Born Jonas Dovern Zeno Enders 19 Feb 2022 Expectation dispersion Uncertainty Macroeconomic news stock market Event study Forecaster dispersion International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E44 G12 G14
Discussion paper DP16970 Expecting Brexit Thomas Sampson Swati Dhingra 30 Jan 2022 Brexit Trade policy Uncertainty Exchange rates International Macroeconomics and Finance International Trade and Regional Economics E22 E65 F13 F15 F16 F31 F40
Discussion paper DP15972 A Scientific Approach to Innovation Management: Theory and Evidence from Four Field Experiments Arnaldo Camuffo Alfonso Gambardella Danilo Messinese Elena Novelli Emilio Paolucci Chiara Spina 20 Dec 2021 Scientific entrepreneurship Management practices Field experiments Strategic decision-making Uncertainty Organizational Economics L21 L26 M13 M21
Discussion paper DP16766 News and uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey evidence and short-run economic impact Alexander Dietrich Keith Kuester Gernot Müller Raphael Schoenle 2 Dec 2021 Consumer expectations Survey Large shock Uncertainty monetary policy Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C83 E32 E52
Discussion paper DP16646 Investment under Stormy Skies: The Case of Russian Firms during 2004-2016 Sumru G. Altug Sevcan Yesiltas 7 Nov 2021 Uncertainty Irreversible investment Financing constraints Russian federation Sanctions Oil prices Ruble devaluation Firm-level data Macroeconomics and Growth C33 D22 G31
VoxEU Column After floods and pandemics: How to obtain a meaningful forecast Elena Bobeica Gabriel Pérez-Quirós Gerhard Rünstler Georg Strasser 31 Oct 2021 Macroeconomic policy Frontiers of economic research Exchange Rates Forecasting Big data Nowcasting Uncertainty Non-linearities High-frequency data
VoxEU Column Wait and see: The labour market implications of economic uncertainty Wouter Den Haan Lukas B. Freund Pontus Rendahl 11 Sep 2021 Labour Markets Uncertainty Labour market Unemployment economic models labour market models Firms